Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,207$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(118 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.7\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $28$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(0.496 \times 10^{0.031t}\) (doubling rate \(9.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35.4}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 48.8)}}\) (asimptote \(35.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,302$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $48,285$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(454 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,596,459.8}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 154.9)}}\) (asimptote \(2,596,459.8\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $998$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(19.6 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,644.6}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 98.0)}}\) (asimptote \(8,644.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $22,923$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,154$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(904 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,174.0}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.6)}}\) (asimptote \(12,174.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $707$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(145 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{633.8}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 32.1)}}\) (asimptote \(633.8\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,730$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,016$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(66.8 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,197.1}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 89.8)}}\) (asimptote \(11,197.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $85$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(9.97 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{120.0}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 62.3)}}\) (asimptote \(120.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,394$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $34,079$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(516 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{330,444.9}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 128.1)}}\) (asimptote \(330,444.9\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,237$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(84.5 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,422.8}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 79.3)}}\) (asimptote \(2,422.8\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $23,881$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,049$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(0.296 \times 10^{0.050t}\) (doubling rate \(6.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,932.1}{1 + 10^{-0.069 (t - 71.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,932.1\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $55$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(0.00699 \times 10^{0.056t}\) (doubling rate \(5.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{250.8}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 78.8)}}\) (asimptote \(250.8\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $886$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,101$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(47 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,687.1}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.4)}}\) (asimptote \(3,687.1\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $21$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(0.715 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{31.4}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 69.6)}}\) (asimptote \(31.4\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $554$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(26.4 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{562.9}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 55.9)}}\) (asimptote \(562.9\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $309$ on 2020-06-07